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Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Stock Forecast 2025 - AI Price Prediction & Analysis


Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Match Group, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Match Group, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on December 29, 2025, 12:23 a.m. (UTC)

Match Group, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) operates within the Technology sector, specifically in the Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. industry. The company employs approximately 444 people. With a market capitalization of $8 billion, the company is a mid-cap stock that typically offers a balance between growth potential and established business operations.

Financial Performance Analysis

Match Group, Inc. generates annual revenues of approximately $3 billion. The company currently reports a negative net margin of -6.1%, which investors should monitor closely.

From a profitability standpoint, the company reports a Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.7%, which is acceptable for its industry. The Return on Assets (ROA) stands at 6.9%, showing reasonable asset productivity. The gross margin of 54.0% reflects strong pricing power and cost control.

Balance Sheet Strength

Examining the balance sheet health, the current ratio of 1.15x indicates the company can meet its short-term obligations, though with limited buffer. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07x shows higher leverage, which increases financial risk but may support growth initiatives.

Cash Flow Generation

Match Group, Inc. generates $955 million in annual free cash flow, providing financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt reduction, or strategic investments. Operating cash flow stands at $1 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash from its core business operations. Year-over-year operating cash flow has changed by -14.5%, which merits investor attention.

Valuation Analysis

The P/E ratio of 13.8x suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings, potentially offering value for investors. However, low P/E ratios can also reflect market concerns about future growth prospects. The price-to-book ratio stands at -44.15x, potentially indicating undervaluation or market concerns about asset quality.

AI-Powered Price Predictions

Our AI models continuously analyze Match Group, Inc. to identify potential price movements. Subscribe to Intratio Premium to unlock detailed AI-powered price predictions for 7, 30, and 90-day horizons.

Investment Considerations

When determining whether Match Group, Inc. is a suitable investment, consider your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. As a mid-cap stock, Match Group, Inc. may offer a balance of growth potential and established business fundamentals.

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Corporate Identity

Match Group, Inc. (Stock Symbol: MTCH) is a prominent company operating within the Technology sector, with a specific focus on the Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

The organization employs approximately 444 professionals, which is characteristic of a lean, focused organization that may emphasize efficiency and specialized expertise.

Market Classification

With a market capitalization of $8 billion, Match Group, Inc. is classified as a mid-cap stock. Mid-cap companies often represent businesses in a growth phase, having moved beyond the early startup stage but still possessing significant expansion potential. These stocks can offer an attractive balance between the growth potential of smaller companies and the stability of larger corporations.

Sector & Industry Context

Operating within the Technology sector, Match Group, Inc. is subject to the unique dynamics, opportunities, and challenges that characterize this segment of the economy. The technology sector is known for rapid innovation, high growth potential, and competitive intensity. Companies in this sector must continuously invest in research and development to maintain their competitive edge.

Revenue & Growth Analysis

Match Group, Inc. generates annual revenues of $3 billion , indicating a well-established business with proven market demand for its products or services. This revenue base supports sustainable operations and provides capacity for continued growth investments.

Profitability Analysis

The company achieves a -6.1% net profit margin, indicating the company is currently operating at a loss. This could reflect heavy growth investments, restructuring costs, or fundamental business challenges that require careful evaluation.

Gross profit margin stands at 54.0%, a healthy margin indicating strong pricing power relative to direct production costs and efficient supply chain management.

Operating margin is 24.7%, showing solid operational efficiency with balanced investment in sales, marketing, research, and administrative functions.

Market Valuation

Current market capitalization stands at $8 billion . This mid-cap classification represents companies that have proven their business models but still have significant growth runway. Mid-caps often offer an attractive blend of growth potential and established operations.

Return on Investment Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE) measures 14.7%, indicating adequate returns for shareholders, roughly in line with broader market averages. This represents acceptable but not exceptional capital efficiency.

Return on Assets (ROA) stands at 6.9%, showing moderate asset utilization common in capital-intensive industries like manufacturing or utilities.

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) measures 7.0%, which may indicate returns below the cost of capital, potentially destroying shareholder value over time if sustained.

Cash Flow Generation

Free cash flow generation of $955 million annually represents healthy cash conversion that supports ongoing operations and provides capital for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Operating cash flow reaches $1 billion , with year-over-year growth of -14.5%. Operating cash flow represents the cash generated from core business operations before capital investments, providing insight into the sustainability of the company's business model.

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Strategic Market Position

Match Group, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. marketplace. As a mid-cap company, it occupies an attractive position balancing growth potential with established operations. Mid-caps often represent the 'sweet spot' for investors seeking companies that have proven their business models but still have meaningful runway for expansion. These companies are large enough to have competitive advantages but nimble enough to adapt quickly to market changes.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Match Group, Inc. operates within the fast-evolving technology sector where competitive dynamics are shaped by innovation cycles, platform economics, and network effects. Technology companies must continuously invest in R&D to maintain relevance, while also defending against disruption from startups and adjacent market entrants. Success in this sector often requires achieving critical scale or establishing defensible intellectual property positions.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $955 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of -14.5%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 54.0% gross margin indicating healthy pricing power relative to direct production costs. This margin level suggests the company has successfully differentiated its products or services, allowing it to command prices meaningfully above input costs. Maintaining these margins requires ongoing investment in brand, technology, or other differentiating factors.

Operating margin of 24.7% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This strong operating margin indicates excellent cost control and efficient organizational structure relative to the revenue base.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.75x indicates moderate asset turnover common in capital-intensive industries such as utilities, real estate, or heavy manufacturing. Lower turnover in these sectors is expected due to the significant infrastructure required for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 1.15 suggests tight liquidity where current assets just cover current liabilities. This may be efficient but leaves limited cushion for unexpected needs.

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Match Group, Inc. stock analysis.

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Deep dive into Match Group, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Match Group, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Match Group, Inc.: With a P/E ratio of 13.84, the market sees the stock as potentially undervalued.

P/E Ratio 13.84x
P/B Ratio -44.15x
Market Cap $7777M
EPS $2.22
Book Value/Share $-0.73
Revenue/Share $14.52
FCF/Share $2.95
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Match Group, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Match Group, Inc.: An ROE of 14.7% shows good shareholder value creation.

ROE 14.7%
ROA 6.9%
ROIC 7.0%
Gross Margin 54.0%
Operating Margin 24.7%
Net Margin -6.1%
EBT Margin 8.8%
Tax Rate 9.1%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Match Group, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Match Group, Inc.: A current ratio of 1.15 shows adequate liquidity.

Current Ratio 1.15x
Quick Ratio 1.03x
D/E Ratio 1.07x
Financial Leverage 2.85x
Interest Coverage 3.1x
Working Capital $520M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Match Group, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Match Group, Inc.: Free cash flow of $955M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $1043M
Free Cash Flow $955M
Capital Spending $-87M
OCF Growth YoY -14.5%
FCF Growth YoY -5.2%
FCF/Sales 30.7%
CapEx/Sales 2.8%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Match Group, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Match Group, Inc.: An asset turnover of 0.75x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.75x
Receivables Turnover 15.9x
Fixed Assets Turnover 22.7x
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days
Payables Period 7 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Match Group, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Match Group, Inc.: With annual revenue of $3469M, Match Group, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement ($ Millions)
Total Revenue $3469M
Operating Income $59M
R&D Expense $431M
SG&A Expense $32M
Cost of Goods Sold $963M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 24%
Cash & Short-term Investments 18%
Total Liabilities 102%
Short-term Debt 2%
Accounts Receivable 4%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 239M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth 7.1%

Latest Match Group, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock price and investment outlook.

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Match Group, Inc. Competitors & Peer Analysis - Technology Sector

Comparative analysis of Match Group, Inc. against industry peers and competitors in the Technology sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
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BIDU Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $4B x 3.4x
BLND Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $793M -11.7x -26.7x
BMBL Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $372M -5.7x 0.6x
BRGX Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $13M x x
BZ Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $19B x 1.6x
CCTC Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $0M x x
CEVA Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $520M -115.7x 1.9x
CNET Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3M -14.8x 1.0x
CSAI Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $20M x 2.9x
DJT Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3B x 1.5x
DJTWW Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $5B x 2.2x
DOCN Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $5B 18.0x -12.8x
DSP Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $248M 134.8x 10.7x
DV Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B 41.4x 1.7x
EB Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $429M -27.3x 2.3x
EVER Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $1B 18.7x 5.8x
FDS Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $11B 18.4x 5.0x
FLUT Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $39B x 4.2x
GDS Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $33B x 7.5x
GITS Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3M x 0.5x
GOOG Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3804B 30.6x 9.8x
GOOGL Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3786B 30.5x 9.8x
GRND Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B -48.5x -56.5x
HCAT Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $171M -5.9x 0.5x
HOLO Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $5M x 0.0x
HSTM Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $700M 33.8x 2.0x
IAC Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3B -14.7x 0.7x
IPDN Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $3M -1.2x 0.4x
IPM Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $16M x 0.9x
LGCL Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $177M x 0.7x
META Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $1710B 29.2x 8.8x
MITI Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2M 2.8x x
MTCH Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $8B 13.8x -44.2x
NBIS Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $29B x 20.2x
NIQ Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $5B 4.2x 4.9x
OBLG Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $7M -5.8x 0.7x
PINS Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $18B 9.1x 3.8x
PODC Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $56M -58.5x 3.8x
PUBM Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $423M 96.6x 1.7x
QSJC Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $1M x x
RUM Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B -13.0x 5.6x
RXT Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $240M -0.7x -0.3x
SABR Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $549M 1.0x -0.9x
SMWB Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $590M x 21.5x
SNAP Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $14B -18.1x 6.2x
SOGP Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $11B x 434.0x
SST Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $36M -0.4x 0.8x
TBLA Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B 63.2x 1.8x
TEAD Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $87M x 0.2x
TEM Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $11M x 0.0x
TRIP Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B 20.8x 2.3x
TRSO Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2M x 0.1x
TRUE Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $209M -6.5x 1.8x
TTD Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $19B 43.4x 7.3x
VMEO Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $1B 835.4x 3.3x
VNET Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $6B x 7.9x
WB Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B x 0.8x
WEIBF Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $2B x 0.7x
WEWA Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $227M x x
WIX Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $6B x x
ZIP Unlock Forecast - 30 Days FREE Trial $381M 38.9x 0.0x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Match Group, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Match Group, Inc. stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 23% Spearman correlation coefficient for MTCH predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Match Group, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Match Group, Inc.'s financial metrics, Technology sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Match Group, Inc. a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Match Group, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Match Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Match Group, Inc. stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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