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J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) Stock Forecast 2025 - AI Price Prediction & Analysis


J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

J M SMUCKER Co Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into J M SMUCKER Co's business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on December 30, 2025, 5:25 a.m. (UTC)

J M SMUCKER Co Investment Summary

When evaluating whether J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) operates within the Manufacturing sector, specifically in the Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies industry. The company employs approximately 21 people. With a market capitalization of $11 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

J M SMUCKER Co generates annual revenues of approximately $10 billion. The company operates with a net margin of 4.9%, showing modest profitability.

From a profitability standpoint, the company has a Return on Equity (ROE) of 7.8%, suggesting room for improvement in capital efficiency. The Return on Assets (ROA) stands at 3.9%, suggesting potential for operational improvement. The gross margin of 32.3% indicates healthy product or service economics.

Balance Sheet Strength

Examining the balance sheet health, the current ratio of 1.03x indicates the company can meet its short-term obligations, though with limited buffer. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54x indicates moderate leverage, typical for many established companies.

Cash Flow Generation

J M SMUCKER Co generates $718 million in annual free cash flow, providing financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt reduction, or strategic investments. Operating cash flow stands at $1 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash from its core business operations. Year-over-year operating cash flow has changed by 24.7%, showing strong cash flow momentum.

Valuation Analysis

The P/E ratio of 17.6x represents a reasonable valuation that balances current earnings with growth expectations, falling within a typical range for established companies. The price-to-book ratio stands at 1.75x, suggesting the stock trades at a modest premium to book value. For income-focused investors, the current dividend yield of 4.43% offers an attractive income stream, though sustainability should be verified against payout ratios.

AI-Powered Price Predictions

Our AI models continuously analyze J M SMUCKER Co to identify potential price movements. Subscribe to Intratio Premium to unlock detailed AI-powered price predictions for 7, 30, and 90-day horizons.

Investment Considerations

When determining whether J M SMUCKER Co is a suitable investment, consider your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. As a large-cap stock, J M SMUCKER Co typically offers more stability but potentially lower growth compared to smaller companies.

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Corporate Identity

J M SMUCKER Co (Stock Symbol: SJM) is a prominent company operating within the Manufacturing sector, with a specific focus on the Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the NYSE exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

The organization employs approximately 21 professionals, which is characteristic of a lean, focused organization that may emphasize efficiency and specialized expertise.

Market Classification

With a market capitalization of $11 billion, J M SMUCKER Co is classified as a large-cap stock. Large-cap companies are well-established industry leaders that typically offer investors relative stability combined with consistent returns. These companies often have diversified revenue streams, established competitive advantages, and the financial resources to weather economic downturns.

Sector & Industry Context

Operating within the Manufacturing sector, J M SMUCKER Co is subject to the unique dynamics, opportunities, and challenges that characterize this segment of the economy.

Revenue & Growth Analysis

J M SMUCKER Co generates annual revenues of $10 billion , demonstrating substantial market presence and operational scale. Companies at this revenue level typically benefit from established distribution networks, diversified revenue streams, and meaningful economies of scale.

Profitability Analysis

The company achieves a 4.9% net profit margin, reflecting thin profitability that may be characteristic of the industry or indicative of competitive pressures. Companies operating at these margins have limited buffer against economic downturns or cost increases.

Gross profit margin stands at 32.3%, a moderate margin common in manufacturing, retail, or distribution-heavy businesses where competition or cost structures limit pricing flexibility.

Operating margin is 13.4%, indicating moderate operational leverage where fixed costs consume a significant portion of gross profits.

Market Valuation

Current market capitalization stands at $11 billion . This large-cap valuation typically attracts institutional investors seeking stability and liquidity. Large-cap stocks generally exhibit lower volatility and often pay dividends, making them core portfolio holdings.

Return on Investment Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE) measures 7.8%, suggesting below-average capital efficiency that may reflect industry characteristics, high equity base, or operational challenges.

Return on Assets (ROA) stands at 3.9%, indicating lower asset efficiency that may reflect industry norms or opportunities for operational improvement.

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) measures 5.8%, which may indicate returns below the cost of capital, potentially destroying shareholder value over time if sustained.

Cash Flow Generation

Free cash flow generation of $718 million annually represents healthy cash conversion that supports ongoing operations and provides capital for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Operating cash flow reaches $1 billion , with year-over-year growth of 24.7%. Operating cash flow represents the cash generated from core business operations before capital investments, providing insight into the sustainability of the company's business model.

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Strategic Market Position

J M SMUCKER Co strategically competes in the highly dynamic Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

J M SMUCKER Co competes within the Manufacturing sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $718 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of 24.7%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 32.3% gross margin reflecting moderate pricing power typical of many manufacturing, retail, or service businesses. While not exceptionally high, these margins provide adequate room for operating expenses and profit generation. Competitive pressures or cost increases could impact profitability if margins compress.

Operating margin of 13.4% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This healthy operating margin shows balanced investment in growth functions while maintaining reasonable profitability.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.49x indicates moderate asset turnover common in capital-intensive industries such as utilities, real estate, or heavy manufacturing. Lower turnover in these sectors is expected due to the significant infrastructure required for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 1.03 suggests tight liquidity where current assets just cover current liabilities. This may be efficient but leaves limited cushion for unexpected needs.

J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for J M SMUCKER Co stock analysis.

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Deep dive into J M SMUCKER Co's financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if J M SMUCKER Co stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For J M SMUCKER Co: With a P/E ratio of 17.60, the market moderately values the company's earnings.

P/E Ratio 17.60x
P/B Ratio 1.75x
Market Cap $10592M
Dividend Yield 4.43%
EPS $-13.72
Book Value/Share $56.79
Revenue/Share $79.87
FCF/Share $11.36
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently J M SMUCKER Co converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For J M SMUCKER Co: An ROE of 7.8% indicates room for improvement in shareholder value creation.

ROE 7.8%
ROA 3.9%
ROIC 5.8%
Gross Margin 32.3%
Operating Margin 13.4%
Net Margin 4.9%
EBT Margin 10.6%
Tax Rate 25.1%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess J M SMUCKER Co's ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For J M SMUCKER Co: A current ratio of 1.03 shows adequate liquidity.

Current Ratio 1.03x
Quick Ratio 0.36x
D/E Ratio 0.54x
Financial Leverage 1.97x
Interest Coverage 6.2x
Working Capital $-925M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal J M SMUCKER Co's ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For J M SMUCKER Co: Free cash flow of $718M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $1136M
Free Cash Flow $718M
Capital Spending $-418M
OCF Growth YoY 24.7%
FCF Growth YoY 27.7%
FCF/Sales 9.0%
CapEx/Sales 5.2%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively J M SMUCKER Co uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For J M SMUCKER Co: An asset turnover of 0.49x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.49x
Receivables Turnover 15.1x
Inventory Turnover 5.2x
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.7x
Days Sales Outstanding 24 days
Days Inventory 71 days
Payables Period 77 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 18 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from J M SMUCKER Co's income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For J M SMUCKER Co: With annual revenue of $10078M, J M SMUCKER Co operates at significant scale.

Income Statement ($ Millions)
Total Revenue $10078M
Operating Income $660M
Net Income $411M
SG&A Expense $17M
Cost of Goods Sold $5313M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 13%
Cash & Short-term Investments 1%
Total Liabilities 49%
Short-term Debt 1%
Accounts Receivable 3%
Inventory 7%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Dividends Per Share $2.14
Payout Ratio 0.5%
Shares Outstanding 107M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth 3.5%

Latest J M SMUCKER Co Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting J M SMUCKER Co (SJM) stock price and investment outlook.

, source: Convenience Store News

The divestiture is a continuation of the company's strategy to optimize its portfolio and reallocate resources to its core growth brands. The acquisition follows Second Nature Brands' purchase of ...

, source: Morningstar

ORRVILLE, Ohio, Nov. 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The J.M. Smucker Co. (NYSE: SJM) will release its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. A press release, including ...

, source: Morningstar

ORRVILLE, Ohio, Oct. 23, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The J.M. Smucker Co. (NYSE: SJM) today announced its Board of Directors approved a $1.10 per share dividend on the common shares of the Company. The ...

, source: Nasdaq

The DividendRank formula at Dividend Channel ranks a coverage universe of thousands of dividend stocks, according to a proprietary formula designed to identify those stocks that combine two important ...

, source: Investopedia

Nisha Gopalan is a former Senior Overnight Assignment Editor for Investopedia News. She is an award-winning financial journalist who has worked in London, where she is currently based, and Hong Kong.

J M SMUCKER Co Competitors & Peer Analysis - Manufacturing Sector

Comparative analysis of J M SMUCKER Co against industry peers and competitors in the Manufacturing sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Frequently Asked Questions - J M SMUCKER Co Stock Forecast

How accurate are J M SMUCKER Co stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 9% Spearman correlation coefficient for SJM predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence J M SMUCKER Co stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers J M SMUCKER Co's financial metrics, Manufacturing sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is J M SMUCKER Co a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, J M SMUCKER Co shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are J M SMUCKER Co forecasts updated?

J M SMUCKER Co stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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