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Powered by AI1. Summary U.S. equities opened the week on a down‑trend as the rally sparked by Nvidia’s AI earnings lost steam, pulling a broad swath of tech, semiconductor and consumer‑discretionary names lower. The market’s mood was further dampened by mixed macro cues – a weaker yen, higher dollar, and tepid inflation data that kept rate‑cut expectations in check, while commodity prices slipped on geopolitical calm.
2. Key Themes
- AI‑Driven Volatility – Nvidia’s sharp pull‑back triggered a cascade of losses across AMD, Micron, Seagate, Western Digital and related suppliers, ending the AI‑fuelled rally and prompting caution on further AI‑centric bets.
- Consumer & Retail Divergence – Walmart’s tech‑focused narrative lifted its share, but many consumer stocks (e.g., Carvana, RH, Advance Auto Parts) and broader retail names fell, reflecting uneven demand and lingering “goods recession” concerns.
- Macro‑Driven Currency & Rate Signals – A slumping yen, rising dollar, and Japan’s core‑inflation uptick reinforced expectations of tighter policy abroad, while U.S. Treasury yields dipped after a delayed jobs report, keeping the Fed’s rate‑cut timeline ambiguous.
- Alternative Signals & Sector Rotation – Fundstrat’s view of crypto as a leading indicator, SoftBank’s >10% drop, and activist interest in UK investment trusts signal a shift toward defensive and value‑oriented positions amid the tech sell‑off.
3. Conclusion The market is likely to remain range‑bound in the near term, with investors weighing AI volatility against defensive themes until clearer macro and earnings signals emerge.