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Model output · Signal date Oct. 15, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2696 companies scored · 2026-10-15 run in progress: 5121 of ~5380 signals so far · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-15 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-15 run
Companies scored 2696 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.28% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.12% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.28 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 546 ▼ 698 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

173 companies

Sorted by 90D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
51 ELVElevance Health, Inc. Finance 0.41 $92.8B Neutral -0.08% -0.13% ▼ 1
52 FSUNFIRSTSUN CAPITAL BANCORP Finance 0.05 $1.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ▼ 1
53 TFINTriumph Financial, Inc. Finance 0.40 $1.5B Neutral -0.10% -0.14% ·
54 BBTBeacon Financial Corp Finance 0.05 $2.3B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ▲ 1
55 FMNBFARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORP /OH/ Finance 0.00 $885M Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ▼ 2
56 HAPNHappen, Inc. Finance 0.13 $1.6B Neutral -0.10% -0.15% ▼ 1
57 HIPOHippo Holdings Inc. Finance 0.21 $908M Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ▲ 1
58 HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.34 $766M Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ▼ 1
59 CZNCCITIZENS & NORTHERN CORP Finance 0.31 $451M Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ▼ 2
60 GABCGERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.05 $1.8B Neutral -0.12% -0.19% ▼ 2
61 HAFCHANMI FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.35 $904M Neutral -0.11% -0.19% ▼ 2
62 ISTRInvestar Holding Corp Finance 0.27 $393M Neutral -0.11% -0.19% ▼ 2
63 NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Finance 0.48 $3.9B Neutral -0.11% -0.19% ▼ 1
64 WTFCWINTRUST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.10 $9.5B Neutral -0.13% -0.19% ·
65 IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. Finance 0.04 $38.1B Neutral -0.10% -0.20% ·
66 STBAS&T BANCORP INC Finance 0.12 $1.7B Neutral +0.24% -0.20% ·
67 EGBNEAGLE BANCORP INC Finance 0.18 $837M Neutral -0.13% -0.21% ·
68 RKTRocket Companies, Inc. Finance 0.04 $29.7B Neutral -0.12% -0.21% ·
69 AMUBUBS AG Finance 0.06 $84.0B Neutral +0.23% -0.22% ·
70 FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc. Finance 0.55 $2.5B Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ·
71 HTHHilltop Holdings Inc. Finance 0.14 $2.1B Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ·
72 INDBINDEPENDENT BANK CORP Finance 0.19 $3.6B Neutral -0.13% -0.23% ·
73 TMPTOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.05 $1.4B Neutral -0.11% -0.24% ·
74 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.42 $14.5B Neutral +0.15% -0.24% ·
75 COLBCOLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM, INC. Finance 0.25 $7.9B Neutral -0.15% -0.25% ·
76 PEBKPEOPLES BANCORP OF NORTH CAROLINA INC Finance 0.21 $242M Neutral -0.14% -0.25% ▼ 2
77 CVBFCVB FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.05 $3.8B Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ▼ 2
78 PRIPrimerica, Inc. Finance 0.29 $8.6B Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ·
79 LKFNLAKELAND FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.11 $1.4B Neutral -0.16% -0.28% ▼ 1
80 MTBM&T BANK CORP Finance 0.26 $31.2B Neutral -0.16% -0.28% ·
81 RBCAAREPUBLIC BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.11 $1.8B Neutral -0.16% -0.29% ▼ 1
82 FBPFIRST BANCORP /PR/ Finance 0.08 $4.1B Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ▼ 1
83 FHNFIRST HORIZON CORP Finance 0.45 $10.7B Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ·
84 MBWMMERCANTILE BANK CORP Finance 0.03 $997M Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
85 SFNCSIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.10 $3.2B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
86 CATYCATHAY GENERAL BANCORP Finance 0.08 $3.9B Neutral -0.18% -0.32% ▼ 1
87 TDTORONTO DOMINION BANK Finance 0.28 $197.7B Neutral -0.10% -0.32% ·
88 CGCarlyle Group Inc. Finance 0.48 $12.7B Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
89 EFSCENTERPRISE FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP Finance 0.09 $2.1B Neutral -0.19% -0.34% ·
90 FHIFEDERATED HERMES, INC. Finance 0.04 $4.1B Neutral -0.19% -0.34% ·
91 MBINMerchants Bancorp Finance 0.35 $2.2B Neutral -0.19% -0.34% ▼ 1
92 RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.08 $201M Neutral -0.19% -0.35% ▼ 2
93 TIPTTIPTREE INC. Finance 0.22 $635M Neutral -0.11% -0.35% ·
94 AIZASSURANT, INC. Finance 0.64 $13.9B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
95 EGEVEREST GROUP, LTD. Finance 0.27 $14.4B Neutral -0.21% -0.38% ▲ 1
96 FMBHFIRST MID BANCSHARES, INC. Finance 0.01 $1.3B Neutral -0.21% -0.38% ▼ 1
97 LPLALPL Financial Holdings Inc. Finance 0.24 $25.5B Neutral -0.21% -0.38% ·
98 SRCE1ST SOURCE CORP Finance 0.01 $2.0B Neutral -0.10% -0.39% ·
99 OVBCOHIO VALLEY BANC CORP Finance 0.40 $217M Neutral -0.22% -0.40% ▼ 1
100 HBNCHORIZON BANCORP INC /IN/ Finance 0.18 $975M Neutral -0.23% -0.42% ▼ 1
51–100 of 173 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 546▼ 698
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-15) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.