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Model output · Signal date Oct. 15, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2696 companies scored · 2026-10-15 run in progress: 5121 of ~5380 signals so far · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-15 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-15 run
Companies scored 2696 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.11% Alpha · 30D
Long–short spread +2.01% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.20 Spearman · 30D
Rating changes ▲ 512 ▼ 997 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

30D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

160 companies

Sorted by 30D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 TFCTRUIST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.30 $55.7B Neutral +0.15% -0.52% ·
2 TPGTPG Inc. Finance 0.44 $16.2B Neutral +0.15% +0.03% ·
3 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.42 $14.5B Neutral +0.15% -0.24% ▼ 1
4 ALLALLSTATE CORP Finance 0.16 $60.6B Neutral +0.14% +0.30% ▼ 1
5 BUSEFIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ Finance 0.08 $2.4B Neutral +0.14% +0.30% ▼ 1
6 MTGMGIC INVESTMENT CORP Finance 0.22 $5.6B Neutral +0.14% +0.30% ▼ 1
7 MOHMOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. Finance 0.27 $10.9B Neutral +0.13% +0.28% ▼ 1
8 RFREGIONS FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.25 $22.9B Neutral +0.13% +0.28% ▼ 1
9 BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc. Finance 0.08 $518M Neutral +0.11% +0.23% ▼ 1
10 CFFNCapitol Federal Financial, Inc. Finance 0.22 $1.0B Neutral +0.11% +0.24% ▼ 1
11 CNCCENTENE CORP Finance 0.37 $34.7B Neutral +0.10% +0.22% ·
12 FBNCFIRST BANCORP /NC/ Finance 0.21 $2.5B Neutral +0.10% +0.22% ·
13 PRAAPRA GROUP INC Finance 0.54 $746M Neutral +0.10% +0.23% ▲ 1
14 BXBlackstone Inc. Finance 0.05 $129.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ·
15 CACCCREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORP Finance 0.30 $5.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ▼ 1
16 CIVBCIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. Finance 0.10 $550M Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ▼ 1
17 PEBOPEOPLES BANCORP INC Finance 0.03 $1.3B Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ▼ 1
18 SMBKSMARTFINANCIAL INC. Finance 0.05 $847M Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ▼ 1
19 AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.21 $543M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ·
20 CPFCENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.26 $912M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ▼ 1
21 BOTJBANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INC Finance 0.23 $123M Neutral +0.06% +0.14% ·
22 CBNKCapital Bancorp Inc Finance 0.02 $629M Neutral +0.06% +0.14% ·
23 HOPEHOPE BANCORP INC Finance 0.07 $1.7B Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ·
24 PFHPRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC Finance 0.48 $5.1B Neutral +0.06% -0.96% ·
25 ATLOAMES NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.14 $282M Neutral +0.05% +0.12% ▼ 1
26 HUMHUMANA INC Finance 0.30 $51.4B Neutral +0.04% +0.12% ▼ 2
27 LCNBLCNB CORP Finance 0.11 $265M Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ▼ 1
28 FRAFFRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP /PA/ Finance 0.09 $283M Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ▲ 1
29 WSFSWSFS FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.06 $3.8B Neutral +0.03% -0.11% ·
30 SBSISOUTHSIDE BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.09 $901M Neutral +0.02% +0.06% ▼ 1
31 FBKFB Financial Corp Finance 0.05 $2.5B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
32 OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.09 $6.4B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
33 OSBCOLD SECOND BANCORP INC Finance 0.11 $1.3B Neutral +0.01% +0.04% ▼ 1
34 SBCFSEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA Finance 0.17 $3.1B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
35 LAZLazard, Inc. Finance 0.24 $3.9B Neutral 0.00% +0.04% ·
36 UVSPUNIVEST FINANCIAL Corp Finance 0.36 $1.1B Neutral 0.00% +0.02% ·
37 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.08 $1.6B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▲ 1
38 MSMORGAN STANLEY Finance 0.20 $285.1B Neutral -0.01% +0.02% ▼ 1
39 MSBIMidland States Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.12 $661M Neutral -0.01% +0.02% ▼ 1
40 USBUS BANCORP \DE\ Finance 0.09 $87.7B Neutral -0.03% -1.13% ·
41 ORRFORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.07 $808M Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
42 RVSBRIVERVIEW BANCORP INC Finance 0.11 $120M Neutral -0.04% +1.33% ·
43 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.26 $2.6B Neutral -0.04% -0.88% ·
44 UCBUNITED COMMUNITY BANKS INC Finance 0.26 $4.0B Neutral -0.04% +0.66% ·
45 WALWESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATION Finance 0.16 $7.9B Neutral -0.04% -0.57% ·
46 CFFIC & F FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.23 $331M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ▲ 1
47 ATLCAtlanticus Holdings Corp Finance 0.22 $1.4B Neutral -0.06% -0.09% ▼ 1
48 MRBKMeridian Corp Finance 0.18 $220M Neutral -0.06% -0.08% ·
49 NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corp Finance 0.09 $1.7B Neutral -0.06% -0.09% ▼ 1
50 RDNRADIAN GROUP INC Finance 0.29 $4.4B Neutral -0.06% -0.08% ▼ 1
1–50 of 160 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 512▼ 997
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-15) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.